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Publications in 2025
Selma Bultan, Yiannis Moustakis, Sebastian Bathiany, Niklas Boers, Raphael Ganzenmüller, Gergana Gyuleva, Julia Pongratz (2025):
Amazon forest faces severe decline under the dual pressures of anthropogenic climate change and land-use change

https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2418813122
PNAS
8 Dec 2025
Full Article
Keno Riechers, Andreas Morr, Klaus Lehnertz, Pedro G. Lind, Niklas Boers, Dirk Witthaut, Leonardo Rydin Gorjão (2025):
Discontinuous stochastic forcing in Greenland ice core data

https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-025-07880-9
Climate Dynamics
25 Nov 2025
Full Article
Christian Wirths, Antoine Hermant, Christian Stepanek, Thomas F. Stocker & Johannes C. R. Sutter (2025):
Sequence of abrupt transitions in Antarctic drainage basins before and during the Mid-Pleistocene Transition

https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-025-65375-x
Nature Communications
24 Nov 2025
Full Article
Joseph Clarke, Chris Huntingford, Paul D. L. Ritchie, Rebecca Varney, Mark Williamson, and Peter Cox (2025):
Conditions for instability in the climate–carbon cycle system

https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-16-2087-2025
Earth System Dynamics
20 Nov 2025
Full Article
Clara Hummel, Niklas Boers, and Martin Rypdal (2025):
Inconclusive Early warning signals for Dansgaard- Oeschger events across Greenland ice cores

https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-16-2035-2025
Earth System Dynamics
19 Nov 2025
Full Article
Mark Pickering, Agata Elia, Gonzalo Oton, Matteo Piccardo, Guido Ceccherini, Giovanni Forzieri, Mirco Migliavacca, Alessandro Cescatti, and Marco Girardello (2025):
Enhanced structural diversity increases European forest resilience and may compensate climate-driven declines

https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-025-02592-8
Communications Earth & Environment
28 Oct 2025
Full Article
Swinda K. J. Falkena, Henk A. Dijkstra and Anna S. von der Heydt (2025):
Causal mechanisms of subpolar gyre variability in CMIP6 models

https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-16-1833-2025
Earth System Dynamics
21 Oct 2025
Full Article
Lenton, T. M., Milkoreit, M., Willcock, S., Abrams, J. F., Armstrong McKay, D. I., Buxton, J. E., Donges, J. F., Loriani, S., Wunderling, N., Alkemade, F., Barrett, M., Constantino, S., Powell, T., Smith, S. R., Boulton, C. A., Pinho, P., Dijkstra, H. A. Pearce-Kelly, P., RomanCuesta, R. M., Dennis, D. (eds) (2025):
Global Tipping Points Report 2025

https://global-tipping-points.org/
13 Oct 2025
Full Article
Chenyu Dong, Gabriele Messori, Davide Faranda, Adriano Gualandi, Valerio Lucarini, Gianmarco Mengaldo (2025):
Spatio-temporal dynamical indices for complex systems

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.chaos.2025.117248
Chaos, Solitons & Fractals
10 Oct 2025
Full Article
Sina Loriani, Yevgeny Aksenov, David Armstrong McKay, Govindasamy Bala, Andreas Born, Cristiano Mazur Chiessi, Henk A. Dijkstra, Jonathan F. Donges, Sybren Drijfhout, Matthew H. England, Alexey V. Fedorov, Laura Jackson, Kai Kornhuber, Gabriele Messori, Francesco S.R. Pausata, Stefanie Rynders, Jean-Baptiste Sallée, Bablu Sinha, Steven Sherwood, Didier Swingedouw, and Thejna Tharammal (2025):
Tipping points in ocean and atmosphere circulations

https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-16-1611-2025
Earth System Dynamics
8 Oct 2025
Full Article
Beatriz Arellano-Nava, Timothy M. Lenton, Chris A. Boulton, Sarah Holmes, James Scourse, Paul G. Butler, David J. Reynolds, Tamara Trofimova, Pierre Poitevin, Alejandro Román-González, and Paul R. Halloran (2025):
Recent and early 20th century destabilization of the subpolar North Atlantic recorded in bivalves

https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.adw3468
Science Advances
3 Oct 2025
Full Article
Niklas Boers, Teng Liu, Sebastian Bathiany, Maya Ben-Yami, Lana L. Blaschke, Nils Bochow, Chris A. Boulton, Timothy M. Lenton, Andreas Morr, Da Nian, Martin Rypdal, and Taylor Smith (2025):
Destabilization of Earth system tipping elements

https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-025-01787-0
Nature Geoscience
1 Oct 2025
Full Article
Takahito Mitsui, Peter Ditlevsen, Niklas Boers, and Michel Crucifix (2025):
100 kyr ice age cycles as a timescale-matching problemESD Ideas: Climate tipping is not instantaneous – the duration of an overshoot mattersTopological modes of variability in the wind-driven ocean circulation

https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-16-1569-2025
Earth System Dynamics
26 Sep 2025
Full Article
Paul Ritchie, Chris Huntingford, and Peter Cox (2025):
ESD Ideas: Climate tipping is not instantaneous – the duration of an overshoot mattersTopological modes of variability in the wind-driven ocean circulation

https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-16-1523-2025
Earth System Dynamics
15 Sep 2025
Full Article
Charó, G.D., D. Sciamarella, J. Ruiz, S. Pierini, and M. Ghil (2025):
Topological modes of variability in the wind-driven ocean circulation

https://doi.org/10.1063/5.0261968
Chaos
8 Sep 2025
Full Article
Peter Ashwin, Robbin Bastiaansen, Anna S von der Heydt and Paul Ritchie (2025):
Early warning skill, extrapolation and tipping for accelerating cascades

https://doi.org/10.1098/rspa.2025.0405
Proceeding of Royal Society A
3 Sep 2025
Full Article
S. Bathiany, E. J. Kim, and N. Boers (2025):
Multiple modes in tropical tree cover: a multi-dimensional perspective

https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/adf7c2
Environmental Research Letters
15 Aug 2025
Full Article
Andreas Morr, Dörte Kreher, and Niklas Boers (2025):
Red noise in continuous-time stochastic modelling

https://doi.org/10.1098/rsos.250573
Royal Society Open ScienceAGU Advances
13 Aug 2025
Full Article
Bryony Hobden, Peter Ashwin, and Paul D. L. Ritchie (2025):
Regularization of a conceptual model for Dansgaard–Oeschger events

https://doi.org/10.1063/5.0244302
Chaos
6 Aug 2025
Full Article
Frerk Pöppelmeier and Thomas Stocker (2025):
Mutual stabilization of AMOC and GrIS due to different transient response to warming

https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/adf45a
Environmental Research Letters
5 Aug 2025
Full Article
Amber A. Boot and Henk A. Dijkstra (2025):
Physics of AMOC multistable regime shifts due to freshwater biases in an EMIC

https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-16-1221-2025
Earth System Dynamics
1 Aug 2025
Full Article
Mirco Migliavacca, Giacomo Grassi, Ana Bastos, Guido Ceccherini, Philippe Ciais, Greet Janssens-Maenhout, Emanuele Lugato, Miguel D. Mahecha, Kimberly A. Novick, Josep Peñuelas, Roberto Pilli, Markus Reichstein, Valerio Avitabile, Pieter S. A. Beck, José I. Barredo, Giovanni Forzieri, Martin Herold, Anu Korosuo, Nicolas Mansuy, Sarah Mubareka, Rene Orth, Paul Rougieux & Alessandro Cescatti (2025):
Securing the forest carbon sink for the European Union’s climate ambition

https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-025-08967-3
Nature
30 July 2025
Full Article
Christopher C. Chapman, Didier P. Monselesan, James S. Risbey, Abdelwaheb Hannachi, Valerio Lucarini, and Richard Matear (2025):
The Typicality of Regimes Associated with Northern Hemisphere Heatwaves

https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-24-0548.1
Journal of Climate
14 July 2025
Full Article
Bach, E., D. Crisan, and M. Ghil (2025):
Forecast error growth: A dynamic-stochastic model

https://doi.org/10.1063/5.0248102
Chaos
9 July 2025
Full Article
Sergio Pérez-Montero, Jorge Alvarez-Solas, Jan Swierczek-Jereczek, Daniel Moreno-Parada, Marisa Montoya, and Alexander Robinson (2025):
A simple physical model for glacial cycles

https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-16-915-2025
Earth System Dynamics
27 June 2025
Full Article
L. Heck; M. Gelbrecht; M. T. Schaub; N. Boers (2025):
Improving the noise estimation of latent neural stochastic differential equations

https://doi.org/10.1063/5.0257224
Chaos
24 June 2025
Full Article
D. Walwer, J. Gonzalez-Santana, C. Wauthier, E. Calais & M. Ghil (2025):
Multichannel singular spectrum analysis of InSAR datasets: data-adaptive interpolation and decomposition of Sentinel-1 time series at Pacaya Volcano, Guatemala

https://doi.org/10.1093/gji/ggaf257
Geophysical Journal International
23 June 2025
Full Article
Sjoerd Terpstra, Swinda K. J. Falkena, Robbin Bastiaansen, Sebastian Bathiany, Henk A. Dijkstra, Anna S. von der Heydt (2025):
Assessment of Abrupt Shifts in CMIP6 Models Using Edge Detection

https://doi.org/10.1029/2025AV001698
AGU Advances
23 June 2025
Full Article
Valeria Mascolo, Alessandro Lovo, Corentin Herbert, Freddy Bouchet (2025):
Gaussian Framework and Optimal Projection of Weather Fields for Prediction of Extreme Events

https://doi.org/10.1029/2024MS004487
Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems
14 June 2025
Full Article
Mingzhao Wang, Yu Huang, Christian L. E. Franzke, Naiming Yuan, Zuntao Fu & Niklas Boers (2025):
Evidence for preferred propagating terrestrial heatwave pathways due to Rossby wave activity

https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-025-60104-w
Nature Communications
22 May 2025
Full Article
Chenyu Dong, Davide Faranda, Adriano Gualandi, Valerio Lucarini, and Gianmarco Mengaldo (2025):
Time-lagged recurrence: A data-driven method to estimate the predictability of dynamical systems

https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2420252122
Chaos
16 May 2025
Full Article
Maraldi, B., H. A. Dijkstra, and M. Ghil (2025):
Intraseasonal atmospheric variability under climate trends

https://doi.org/10.1063/5.0253103
Chaos
13 May 2025
Full Article
Crisan, D., M. Ghil, and R. Nuckchady (2025):
Exponential stability for a forecast-assimilation process with unstable dynamics

https://doi.org/10.1063/5.0241166
Chaos
8 May 2025
Full Article
Matthew B. Menary, Laura C. Jackson, Richard A. Wood, and Richard A. Betts (2025):
Abrupt Changes in the Subpolar North Atlantic and Their Impact on the Climate of the British Isles

https://doi.org/10.1029/2024GL113871
Geophysical Research Letters
3 May 2025
Full Article
J. Lohmann, A. B. Hansen, A. Lovo, R. Chapman, F. Bouchet, and V. Lucarini (2025):
The role of edge states for early warning of tipping points

https://doi.org/10.1098/rspa.2024.0753
Proceedings of the Royal Society A
30 Apr 2025
Full Article
Nils Bochow, Anna Poltronieri, Martin Rypdal and Niklas Boers (2025):
Reconstructing historical climate fields with deep learning

https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.adp0558
Science Advances
2 Apr 2025
Full Article
Ningning Tao, Xiaosong Chen, Fei Xie, Yongwen Zhang, Yan Xia, Xuan Ma, Han Huang and Hongyu Wang (2025):
A Revisit of Large-Scale Patterns in Middle Stratospheric Circulation Variations

https://doi.org/10.3390/e27040327
Entropy
21 Mar 2025
Full Article
Philipp Hess, Michael Aich, Baoxiang Pan and Niklas Boers (2025):
Fast, scale-adaptive and uncertainty-aware downscaling of Earth system model fields with generative machine learning

https://doi.org/10.1038/s42256-025-00980-5
Nature Machine Intelligence
13 Mar 2025
Full Article
Yiran Xie, Xu Wang, Yatong Qian, Teng Liu, Hao Fan, Xiaosong Chen (2025):
Ecosystem evolution and drivers across the Tibetan Plateau and surrounding regions

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2025.124885
Journal of Environmental Management
12 Mar 2025
Full Article
Ruth R. Chapman, Peter Ashwin, and Richard A. Wood (2025):
Quantifying tipping behavior: Geometric early warnings and quasipotentials for a box model of AMOC

https://doi.org/10.1063/5.0240959
Chaos
26 Feb 2025
Full Article
Baker, J. A., Bell  M. J., Jackson L. C., Vallis  G. K., Watson A. J. & Wood R. A. (2025):
Continued Atlantic overturning circulation even under climate extremes

https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-024-08544-0
Nature
26 Feb 2025
Full Article
Eirik Myrvoll-Nilsen, Keno Riechers, and Niklas Boers (2024):
Synchronization of Layer-Counted Paleoclimatic Proxy Archives Using a Bayesian Regression Modeling Framework

https://doi.org/10.1214/25-BA1509
Bayesian Analysis
20 Feb 2025
Full Article
Felix M. Strnad, Kieran M.R. Hunt, Niklas Boers, Bedartha GoswamiFelix M. Strnad, Kieran M.R. Hunt, Niklas Boers, and Bedartha Goswami (2025):
Intraseasonal synchronization of extreme rainfalls between North India and the Sahel

https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4946
Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society
18 Feb 2025
Full Article


Publications in 2024
Nils Bochow, Anna Poltronieri and Niklas Boers (2024):
Projections of precipitation and temperatures in Greenland and the impact of spatially uniform anomalies on the evolution of the ice sheet

https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-18-5825-2024
The Cryosphere
12 Dec 2024
Full Article
Catherine Li, Friedrich A. Burger, Christoph C. Raible, and Thomas L. Frölicher (2024):
Observed Regional Impacts of Marine Heatwaves on Sea-Air CO2 Exchange

https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-18-5825-2024
Geophysical Research Letters
12 Dec 2024
Full Article
Reyk Börner, Ryan Deeley, Raphael Römer, Tobias Grafke, Valerio Lucarini, and Ulrike Feudel (2024):
Saddle avoidance of noise-induced transitions in multiscale systems

https://doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevResearch.6.L042053
Physical Review Research
2 Dec 2024
Full Article
Johannes Lohmann and Valerio Lucarini (2024):
Melancholia states of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation

https://doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevFluids.9.123801
Physical Review Fluids
2 Dec 2024
Full Article
Sebastian Bathiany, Da Nian, Markus Drüke and Niklas Boers (2024):
Resilience indicators for tropical rainforests in a dynamic vegetation model

https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.17613
Global Change Biology
6 Dec 2024
Full Article
Yu Huang, Sebastian Bathiany, Peter Ashwin and Niklas Boers (2024):
Deep learning for predicting rate-induced tipping

https://doi.org/10.1038/s42256-024-00937-0
nature machine intelligence
28 Nov 2024
Full Article
Andreas Morr, Niklas Boers, Peter Ashwin (2024):
Internal noise interference to warnings of tipping points in generic multi-dimensional dynamical systems

https://doi.org/10.1137/24M1669104
SIAM Journal on Applied Dynamical Systems (SIADS)
Volume 23 Issue 4
11 Nov 2024
Full Article
T. K. Akabane, C. M. Chiessi, M. Hirota, I. Bouimetarhan, M. Prange, S. Mulitza, D. J. Bertassoli Jr, C. Häggi, A. Staal, G. Lohmann, N. Boers, A. L. Daniau, R. S. Oliveira, M. C. Campos, X. Shi & P. E. De Oliveira (2024):
Weaker Atlantic overturning circulation increases the vulnerability of northern Amazon forests

https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-024-01578-z
nature geosience
1 Nov 2024
Full Article
Michael Ghil (2024):
Boolean Delay Equations: a dynamical approach to modeling complex systems

https://doi.org/10.4401/ag-9182
Annals of Geophysics
31 Oct 2024
Full Article
Da Nian, Sebastian Bathiany, Boris Sakschewski, Markus Drüke, Lana Blaschke, Maya Ben-Yami, Werner von Bloh, Niklas Boers (2024):
Rainfall seasonality dominates critical precipitation threshold for the Amazon forest in the LPJmL vegetation model

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.174378
Science of The Total Environment
Volume 947, 174378
15 Oct 2024
Full Article
Min Chen, Zhen Qian, Niklas Boers, Felix Creutzig, Gustau Camps-Valls, Klaus Hubacek, Christophe Claramunt, John P. Wilson, Stefano Nativi, Anthony J. Jakeman, R. Dietmar Müller, Michael Batty, Chenghu Zhou, Fahu Chen, Qiao Wang, Fan Zhang, C. Michael Barton, Josef Strobl, Michael Meadows, Carlo Ratti, Philipp Hess, Qingsong Xu, Zhixin Zhang, Qiushi Gu, A-Xing Zhu, Hui Lin, Linwang Yuan, Guonian Lü (2024):
Collaboration between artificial intelligence and Earth science communities for mutual benefit

https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-024-01550-x
Nature Geoscience 17, pp. 949–952
9 Oct 2024
Full Article
Johannes Lohmann, Bert Wuyts, Peter D Ditlevsen, Peter Ashwin (2024):
On the predictability of possible storylines for forced complex systems

https://doi.org/10.1088/2632-072X/ad7b95
Journal of Physics: Complexity
Volume 5, Number 3
27 Sep 2024
Full Article
Andreas Morr, Keno Riechers, Leonardo Rydin Gorjão, Niklas Boers (2024):
Anticipating critical transitions in multidimensional systems driven by time- and state-dependent noise

https://doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevResearch. 6.033251
APS Physical Review Research 6, 033251
4 Sep 2024
Full Article
Maya Ben-Yami, Good, P., Jackson, L. C., Crucifix, M., Hu, A., Saenko, O., Swingedouw, D. and Niklas Boers (2024):
Impacts of AMOC Collapse on Monsoon Rainfall: A Multi-Model Comparison

https://doi.org/10.1029/2023EF003959
Earth's Future Volume 12, Issue 9
3 Sep 2024
Full Article
Qianze Liu, Wenping He, Xiaoqiang Xie, Ying Mei, Hui Sun, Niklas Boers (2024):
Early warning signal of abrupt change in sea level pressure based on changing spectral exponent

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.chaos.2024.115350
Chaos, Solitons & Fractals Vol 187, 115350
19 Aug 2024
Full Article
Maya Ben-Yami, Andreas Morr, Sebastian Bathiany, Niklas Boers (2024):
Uncertainties too large to predict tipping times of major Earth system components from historical data

https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.adl4841
Science Advances Vol 10, Issue 31
2 Aug 2024
Full Article
Lana L. Blaschke, Da Nian, Sebastian Bathiany, Maya Ben-Yami, Taylor Smith, Chris A. Boulton and Niklas Boers (2024):
Spatial Correlation Increase in Single-Sensor Satellite Data Reveals Loss of Amazon Rainforest Resilience

https://doi.org/10.1029/2023EF004040
Earth's Future
26 July 2024
Full Article
Kaiwen Li, Yu Huang, Kai Liu, Ming Wang, Fenying Cai, Jianxin Zhang and Niklas Boers (2024):
Key propagation pathways of extreme precipitation events revealed by climate networks

https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-024-00701-6
npj Climate and Atmospheric Science
12 July 2024
Full Article
Anna Poltronieri, Nils Bochow, Nikolas Olson Aksamit, Niklas Boers, Per Kristen Jakobsen and Martin Rypdal (2024):
Arctic summer sea ice loss will accelerate in coming decades

https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ad5194
Environmental Research Letters
17 June 2024
Full Article
Anna Poltronieri, Nils Bochow, Niklas Boers and Martin Rypdal (2024):
Increasing fluctuations in the Arctic summer sea ice cover are expected with future global warming


https://doi.org/10.1088/2752-5295/ad519d
Environmental Research: Climate
11 June 2024
Full Article
Andreas Morr and Niklas Boers (2024):
Detection of approaching critical transitions in natural systems driven by red noise


https://doi.org/10.1103/PhysRev X.14.021037
APS Physical Review X 14, 021037
4 June 2024
Full Article
Hernán D. Salas, Alejandro Builes-Jaramillo, Niklas Boers, Germán Poveda, Óscar J. Mesa, Jürgen Kurths (2024):
Precipitation over northern South America and the far-eastern Pacific during ENSO: Phase synchronization at inter-annual time scales

https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.8443
Surveys in Geophysics
7 May 2024
Full Article
Sebastian Bathiany, Robbin Bastiaansen, Ana Bastos, Lana Blaschke, Jelle Lever, Sina Loriani, Wanda De Keersmaecker, Wouter Dorigo, Milutin Milenković, Cornelius Senf, Taylor Smith, Jan Verbesselt & Niklas Boers (2024):
Ecosystem resilience monitoring and early warning using EO data: challenges and outlook

https://doi.org/10.1007/s10712-024-09833-z
Surveys in Geophysics
3 May 2024
Full Article
Ya Wang, Gang Huang, Baoxiang Pan, Pengfei Lin, Niklas Boers, Weichen Tao, Yutong Chen, Bo Liu & Haijie Li (2024):
Correcting Climate Model Sea Surface Temperature Simulations with Generative Adversarial Networks: Climatology, Interannual Variability, and Extremes

https://doi.org/10.1007/s00376-024-3288-6
Advances in Atmospheric Sciences
5 Apr 2024
Full Article
Keno Riechers, Georg Gottwald, and Niklas Boers (2024):
Glacial abrupt climate change as a multi-scale phenomenon resulting from monostable excitable dynamics

https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0308.1
Journal of Climate
27 Mar 2024
Full Article
Vitus Benson, Jonathan F Donges, Niklas Boers, Marina Hirota, Andreas Morr, Arie Staal, Jürgen Vollmer and Nico Wunderling (2024):
Measuring tropical rainforest resilience under non-Gaussian disturbances

http://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ad1e80
Environmental Research Letters
26 Jan 2024
Full Article
Bringing together leading climate scientists and diverse expertise of our partners
Quantifying climate tipping points and
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is ClimTip?
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ClimTip is a multidisciplinary effort dedicated to advancing our understanding and prediction of Earth's climate tipping points. Through cutting-edge research and data analysis, we strive to identify critical thresholds in the climate system, focusing on four major systems: the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC), the Greenland and West Antarctic ice sheets, and the Amazon rainforest. By developing early warning systems and conducting comprehensive assessments, we aim to mitigate the impacts of these tipping points on ecosystems, societies, and economies worldwide. Our work is crucial for fostering global awareness and collaboration in addressing the urgent challenges posed by climate tipping points. Find out more about our project.
What are the objectives of the project?
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The primary objectives of the ClimTip project are to deepen our understanding of climate tipping points, refine predictive models, and develop early warning systems. We aim to assess the impacts of tipping events on climate, ecosystems, and society, while formulating strategies for adaptation and mitigation. Additionally, we prioritize raising public awareness about the importance and risks of climate tipping points. Read more about our science goals here.
What are climate tipping points?
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Climate tipping points are critical thresholds in Earth's climate system where small changes can lead to significant and potentially irreversible shifts. These shifts can cause abrupt and profound changes to weather patterns, ecosystems, and human societies, with far-reaching impacts on biodiversity, agriculture, and sea levels. Understanding and addressing these tipping points is imperative for safeguarding our planet's future and fostering a sustainable and resilient world.
How close are we to crossing tipping points?
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While scientists have identified potential tipping points in our climate system, there are significant uncertainties regarding when and how these thresholds may be crossed. These uncertainties underscores the importance of deepening our understanding of climate tipping points and developing early warning systems. The urgency lies in the fact that even small changes in global temperatures can increase the risk of triggering these critical thresholds. By actively addressing climate change and reducing greenhouse gas emissions, we can work to mitigate the risk of crossing tipping points and minimize their potential impacts on our planet.
What are the most important Tipping Elements?
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While ongoing debates within the scientific community acknowledge uncertainties surrounding the status of various tipping elements in Earth's climate system, certain systems, such as the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC), Greenland and West Antarctic ice sheets, Amazon rainforest are widely acknowledged as critical tipping elements. The ClimTip project focuses its research efforts primarily on these major tipping elements, recognizing their paramount importance in global climate dynamics. These elements are significant due to their potential to trigger abrupt and irreversible changes, such as sea level rise, disruptions to global weather patterns, and loss of biodiversity.
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